SciTech-Theory-Phenomeon(Problem: Conditions+Process+Outcomes with Probability)->Experience->Concept(Natural+Common part of experiences)-> Principle(invest+research) -> Definition -> Theory -> Axiom

SciTech Layers:
Objective: Problem/Phenomeon: a objective Process and its Outcomes, and Conditions.
Subjective:
->Experience: Sensation+Cognition+Judgement
->Concept(Natural+Common part of experiences)
-> Principle(research+invest)
-> Interpretations
-> Definition
-> Theory
-> Axiom

SciTech Nouns

  • Concept: Experience of natural+common part, or based on outcomes of a process, BLACK-BOX approach
  • Principle: process, varability, effects between variables. WHITE-BOX appraoch
  • Interpretation: more clear than principles, transformed or mapped into other usual theory systems, since its hard to, or even not possible to make a definition for the phenomenon.
  • Definition: rigorious research approach(abstracted model, variables and functions, Quanlitative and Quantitative).
  • Theory: using System and Contingency research approach and formed a whole theory.
  • Axiom: self-evident.

Probability

  • no single scientific interpretation of the term probability is accepted by all statisticians, philosophers, and other authorities.
  • Indeed, the true meaning of probability is still a highly controversial subject and is often involved in many current philosophical discussions pertaining to the foundations of statistics.
  • Three different interpretations of probability will be described here, each of these interpretations can be very useful in applying proability theory to practical problems.
    1. The Frequency Interpretation of Probability.
      In many problems,
      the probability that some specific outcome of a process that will be obtained,
      can be interpreted to mean the "relative frequency" with which that outcome would be obtained,
      if the process were repeated a large number of times under similiar conditions.
    2. The Classical Interpretation of Probability.
      this is based on the concept of "equally likely outcomes".
    3. The Subjective Interpretation of Probability
      • According to the subjective, or personal, interpretation of probability,
        the probability that a person assigns to a possible outcome of some process,
        represents her own judgement of the likelihood that the outcome will be obtained.
        this judgement will be based on each person's beliefs and information about the process.
      • Another person may assign a different probability to the same outcome,
        since he/she may have different beliefs or different information.

Probability VS Likelihood VS Probability

Probability: three mainstream Interpretation
Likelihood:
Possibility:

Chance+Likelihood+Uncertainty+Effects

-> Some degree of Certainty and Variability and/or Repeatable process:

  • Experiment: An experiment is any process, real or hypothetical,
    in which the possible outcomes can be identified ahead of time.
  • Event: An event is a "well-defined" set of possible outcomes of the experiment.
posted @ 2024-07-20 17:10  abaelhe  阅读(21)  评论(0)    收藏  举报